Thanks guys. I agree Eva, the residential solar today is apples and oranges to what it was even 2 years ago. Panels cost less and generate more, and microinverters are similarly less expensive and proven reliable. Using microinverters and 300W panels, my roof can hold a 6kW array easy, which should generate ~7.5MWh/year accounting for roof slope, latitude and cloudiness. Problem is, that would only save me about $600 a year on my electric bill. Currently it would make me another $350 a year in solar renewable credits, but I'm not convinced that'll be available forever. At best, with state rebate, the system would cost $7000 net, taking 7 or 8 years to pay off- I'd jump at that. At worst, closer to $16000 net, and say renewable credit market doesn't pan out, it wouldn't pay off in its expected lifespan. Either way, I'd have to shell out $30k up font or take a loan, while waiting for rebates and tax returns.
I also agree it's not a purely financial decision just like buying an EV. But if you just want to cut your share of greenhouse gasses/pollutants, there are much easier ways like using Chicago's Integrys electric supplier that only sources from non-coal power plants. For solar/EV/whatever, I can't ignore the upfront cost, and have to at least consider the chance to break even. With my FFE, upfront wasn't an issue with 0% financing; and even though I purchased with the early adopter surcharge, I'm still calculating break even vs buying a similarly equipped sedan/hatchback in ~5 years. Planning to keep it at least 10, so for me that's cool. A Model S would not have been as easy to justify for me at that time.
My biggest hesitation is deciding on a reputable dealer/installer. Like you said, will they be around in a few years? Are they on the state/city website because they do good work, or because they know a Cullerton? I'll try to check out the Tesla forum.